BEWARE: Black Swan Sighting

Hear ye, hear ye: There’s been a black swan sighting, and we wanted to update. If you’re new to black swans, they come in multiple flavors. To some, the black swan (Cygnus atratus) is a large, extremely rare water bird,... Read more »

Big Borrowers… Big Budgets… Big Problems

Before we get started, a word of thanks. Gosh - so many of you have come over to Signals Matter already; what a wonderful testimonial to our service. Thank-you, so many of you, who have already joined us at these last few days.

As we like to say, it's not actually what we say that matters: What matters is whether what we say matters to others.You have been loud and clear.

For those of you who may have missed the Monday CSR, we're moving our reports (and our promised, greatly expanded new portfolio service) into an whole new phase at

Starting now, at, you'll receive the same unparalleled U.S. and global market intelligence that you've enjoyed at the Critical Signals Report...but much, much more...

Like Weekly Action Items, Global Heat Maps, Market Watch, Timely Charts, Sector Watch, Storm Tracker, and, of course, Your Portfolio - a service that provides specific trade recommendations for the times at hand, not to mention your very own Market School.

We'll be here at CSR until month's end, although we do have to advise that henceforth, adjustments to Storm Tracker and specific Sector and Portfolio recommendations will only be accessed at, to protect our paid Signals Matter subscribers.

Makes sense and we hope you understand.

Our mission is straightforward, and always will be: Simple signals miles ahead of Wall Street and the Financial "media" at a price that makes our service available to all-from Main Street to the penthouse suite, because all investors, of all ages, experience and income levels, deserve straight talk and blunt market signals.

We'll keep you in the know and not skip a beat.

Toward that end, and as inverting yield curves become a concerning issue all over again, what we're seeing today is a market and economy marching steadfastly towards even higher levels of debt.

Let's discuss...

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The Tesla Melt-Up: Sublime or Ridiculous?

There's just no way to conclude this week without a discussion of Tesla.

Who knows where the price of Tesla will be between the time I write this and you read it, but suffice it to say, Tesla's 120% rise in a matter of weeks...

followed by a 20% dip in matter of hours...

... reminds me a helluva lot of the growth stock volatility I witnessed just before the NASDAQ's big "uh-oh" moment in 2000...

In short, the price moves seen this singular week in Tesla are just plain ridiculous no matter how you look at it, be you a Tesla bull or Tesla bear. Read more »

Risk Ticks Up: “Carefully Bullish” to Bearish for Now

What a difference a few days makes...

In our last report, we described ourselves as "carefully" bullish, mostly due to the remaining tailwinds of Fed support spilling over from Q4 2019.

We said there would be dips and dip-buying to come as well, and by the week's close, those dips had shown up...

But, again, we caveated such bullishness as being "carefully" so, and in this Monday report, we go into much deeper detail as to why.

In short, as markets change, the signals change. It's now time to be careful and wait for the signal to buy the dips still to come.

Simply put, there's now a lot happening out there in the world as we turn the page to February, including the now- global coronavirus threat, Brittan's exit from Europe, slowing consumer spending, negative real yields playing to an increasingly inverted U.S. yield curve, plunging oil prices and well... to much more than these pages can cover this Monday.

We'll hit the highlights for you, though, in this What's Happening Now, namely addressing the rising risks, how we monitor them, and what we're doing about it (i.e. recommending) for YOU.

Let's discuss. Read more »

Insider Secrets: Geopolitical Dangers You Must Consider

This week, as I pack my bags for Europe, I found myself on the phone with a D.C. think-tank to discuss the future-not just for the next year, but for the next decade.

Folks, it was not an altogether uplifting discussion...

My aim here is not to spout personal opinions, take a political stance, or convince anyone to run for the hills or pop more champagne.

Like Switzerland, I'll aim to stay as neutral as possible (except when talking about markets) and simply report what was discussed-hitting the broad themes and thus allowing each of you to draw your own conclusions.

Thereafter, you can decide if we are staring down the barrel of either 1) more central-bank-driven bliss ahead or 2) pitchforks, gun smok,e and angry mobs.

Maybe it will be something in between?

Anyway, here's what was discussed...

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