Market

Why Yesterday’s Almost “Fed Red Day” Should Still be on Your Radar

Well, we came within three basis points of a second “Fed Red Day” yesterday, September 18, when the Fed lowered interest rates and no one saluted (markets fell rather sharply, then recovered). If you are new to Critical Signals Report,... Read more »

Macro Thoughts

The Saudi Arabia Black Swan: What It Means for this Fall’s Markets

By Sunday morning last, the smoke rising from drone attacks on Aramco’s oil production facilities in Saudi Arabia could be seen from outer space. Rising energy costs from this singular event (which significantly reduced global oil production), when combined with... Read more »

Market

What Low Rates Do to Your Favorite Stocks

The relationship between low rates and inflated stock prices is dangerous, and that danger is likely impacting your money.

As market veterans who've seen this movie before, we'd like to make this point stick with another source of entertaining fiction - Netflix.

The company's taken on a frankly disturbing amount of debt, something that even a market darling FAANG stock isn't safe from.

Here's why you should keep an eye on this debt drama... Read more »

Investing

What the Fed Says Doesn’t Matter: Here’s Why

Welcome back to What's Happening Now, your weekly guide to what's going on right now and why it matters to you - and your money.

In this topsy-turvy world of Fed markets rather than stock markets, bad news (as in the economy is worsening) can often translate to good news to investors, because it means more Fed "support" - i.e. the "faking it" policies of a now openly rigged to fail market.

Coming off a week with no less than seven Fed officials, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, opining on interest rates and the state of the economy, markets closed last week confused for good reason.

We're going to dive into why what the Fed says doesn't matter; rather, it's what it does and how the markets react to it...

Let's discuss...

Read more »

Macro Thoughts

You’ve Entered Uncharted Territory – Here’s Why the Tariff Situation is Getting Worse

Welcome back to What’s Happening Now, your weekly guide to what’s going on right now and why it matters to you – and your money. In our last column on compressed yields, we prefaced the long Labor Day Weekend with... Read more »

Macro Thoughts

Treasury Yields Tumble Into Recession Territory: A Dangerous Compression Just Waiting to Uncoil

This will be a brief but extremely important Critical Signals Report. With the month nearly over and as we head into a holiday weekend, we wanted you to know that the U.S. 10-year Treasury Yield may be in for its... Read more »

Macro Thoughts

What a Simple Austrian Bond Says About the Future of Stocks, Markets, and Real Estate

The global bond market is spiking, which means unprepared investors in stocks, credits, and even real estate are poised for a beating. The first symptoms of this credit crisis are appearing in Europe, from where I’ve just returned. As career... Read more »

Market

This Is the Single Most Important Asset Right Now: Here’s Why You Should Own It

For months, readers have been inundating us with questions about precious metals. We’ve addressed these questions on many occasions and have touched upon this topic directly in separate reports. In short, gold matters. Candidly, with the nearly endless stream of... Read more »

Macro Thoughts

What’s Happening Now: Week of August 19

Welcome back to What’s Happening Now, your weekly guide to what’s going on right now and why it matters to you – and your money. In last Monday’s issue, we discussed turning points and tipping points, differentiating one from the... Read more »

Macro Thoughts

Here’s What Warren Buffett Should Be Worried About

Now here’s something you may not have expected me to talk about today: The Association of American Railroads (AAR). The AAR recently released its July data, and there’s a lot behind these reports, which just showed a 4.4% decline in... Read more »